Climate Change Crisis Scenarios

Climate ChangeThe report titled Climate Change, Migration, and Conflict: Addressing Complex Crisis Scenarios in the 21st Century from the Center for American Progress focuses on the distinct challenges that climate change pose for U.S. national security.

Despite some efforts to reduce emissions climate change and its consequences are unavoidable. This report focuses on those consequences by looking at existing and future crisis scenarios. The report states: “It is thus critical to understand how governments plan to answer and prioritize these new threats from climate change, migration, and conflict.”

Climate Change:
Climate change will have an effect on all regions of the world, food and water insecurity in Africa, Asia and the Americas will have profound implications for the United States and the European Union.

“Overall migration across national borders is already at approximately 214 million people worldwide, with estimates of up to 20 million displaced in 2008 alone because of a rising sea level, desertification, and flooding. […] Indeed associated extreme weather events resulting in drought, floods, and disease are projected to increase the number of sudden humanitarian crises and disasters in areas least able to cope, such as those already mired in poverty or prone to conflict.”

Climate change is sparking conflict “both within nations and transnationally, and will force the United States and the international community to confront climate and migration challenges within an increasingly unstructured local or regional security environment […] U.S. national security policy is increasingly integrating thinking about nonstate actors and nontraditional sources of conflict and instability, for example in the fight against Al Qaeda and its affiliated groups.”

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