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On the Horizon: What to Watch in 2022
From the Document: 'The world in 2021 continued to roil with the ongoing COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic, intensifying competition between the world's major powers, questions of trust inside many of the world's leading democracies, and natural disasters made more intense by the effects of climate extremes. As we look to what is on the horizon in 2022, we contend with a geopolitical situation of greater uncertainty than at any time since the end of the Cold War. The Wilson Center strives to provide policymakers with industry-leading expertise that is trustworthy, nonpartisan, and rooted in the values expressed in our congressional charter: "symbolizing and strengthening the fruitful relation between the world of learning and the world of public affairs." In this spirit, we present On the Horizon - What to Watch in 2022.'
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
2022-01-12?
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U.S. - Canadian Border: Recovering from COVID-19
From the Executive Summary: "'The Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars' Canada Institute convened a Task Force on Public Health and the U.S.-Canadian Border to study the use of border restrictions to slow the spread of the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic and associated variants.' We began this effort six months after the border restrictions had been introduced on a temporary basis for 30 days only, and we have seen them renewed every 30 days since, with no bilateral plan from Washington or Ottawa on the conditions that might permit a return to normal border operations, or perhaps a 'new normal.' The Wilson Task Force has received briefings, studies, and advice from hundreds of experts, government officials, and private citizens. This report has been enriched by this input, as has our understanding of what has been the longest period of restriction of the U.S.-Canada border in history and the impact this has had and may continue to have on the relationship between the United States and Canada. The governments of the United States and Canada have now announced specific measures to ease the pandemic border restrictions for particular categories of traveler, subject to specific requirements. This is the beginning of what we hope will be a continued easing of restrictions when pandemic conditions permit. The Task Force applauds these important changes and hopes for more. This report considers the effects of the border restrictions and our recommendations to current and future policymakers on how to learn from the border restriction experiment begun in March 2020 and - despite recent changes - still ongoing."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Canada Institute
2021-12-15?
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Ukrainian NGO Efforts to Prevent and Combat Gender-Based Violence During the COVID-19 Pandemic
From the Document: "The COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic has exacerbated the problem of gender-based violence in Ukraine, as it has in every other country of the world. This problem has been widely recognized at the national level by state authorities in Ukraine, who reported a twofold increase in the number of criminal cases of domestic violence in 2020, compared with 2019. This tendency was confirmed by nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) in the country, who underlined not only an increase in cases of gender-based violence (GBV), including domestic violence, in Ukraine during the COVID-19 pandemic but also deficiencies in the reaction by the state, especially during strict lockdowns. [...] The civil society organization (CSO) La Strada-Ukraine has been working in the field of preventing and combatting gender-based violence and gender discrimination in Ukraine for more than 20 years. It runs the National Hotline for the Prevention of Domestic Violence, Human Trafficking, and Gender Discrimination, which operates 24/7 and provides free psychological, legal, and informational consultations to survivors of domestic violence and other forms of GBV. In the months following the introduction of a nationwide lockdown in Ukraine on March 12, 2020, there was an increase of up to 150 percent in calls to the hotline."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Anosova, Yuliia; Kryvuliak, Alona
2021-12
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COVID-19 Lockdowns and Gender-Based Violence Across Ethnic Groups in Guatemala
From the Document: "Women often face barriers to accessing government services, particularly access to the justice system. This is especially the case in Guatemala, where gender-based forms of violence continue to be a criminal justice and health issue. [...] Following previous research conducted in the United States and Australia, this brief report considers how COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] and Guatemala's lockdown policies to mitigate infection impacted domestic violence for Ladinos and Mayans. Daily domestic violence cases were compiled from a specialized policing unit of Guatemala's National Civil Police (PNC) called Departamento de Atención a la Victima. This unit is located within police headquarters, particularly in areas with higher incidences of violence. Altogether, it has 53 offices across Guatemala. Units are staffed by female police personnel who provide emotional, physical, family, social, and legal assistance either directly or through outreach via other organizations. Victims of violence can report directly to these specialized units. [...] In Guatemala, there is not a socially constructed category of 'mestizo,' or person of a national ethno-racial identity of mixed indigenous and Spanish heritage. Rather, Guatemalans utilize the category of 'Ladino.' Ladinos are Guatemalan-born and have both indigenous and Spanish heritage, yet they choose to set aside signifiers of indigenous identity such as language and dress. Individuals of predominantly indigenous descent that utilize signifiers of indigenous identity are predominantly Mayan. Because of this, data for this study is broken up into two categories: domestic violence cases for Ladinos and Mayans."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Iesue, Laura T.
2021-12
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Pandemic Forum: COVID-19's Impact on Geopolitical Risk and Global Resiliency [video]
In this video, the Wilson Center brings a panel together for a forum to discuss the impacts of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019), lessons learned, and ways to be better prepared in the future. From the Video Description: "The global spread of COVID-19 exposed the vulnerability of industry and government to systemic shocks; consequently, risk management teams must build protections into their operations that anticipate and dampen the effect of future incidents. In this forum, we will learn from healthcare professionals, former national security leaders, and risk management executives about the wide reaching impacts of health on geopolitical risks and considerations for public and private resiliency. How have risk management procedures adapted as a result of the pandemic? In terms of public and private resiliency, what lessons have we learned so far and what challenges might COVID-19 offer in the future? What systemic weaknesses were exposed and are leaders better equipped to address these shocks moving forward? How can leaders from the public and private sectors collaborate in future scenarios and what policy solutions are necessary to make that happen?" The duration of this video is 1 hour, 50 minutes, and 34 seconds. An auto-generated transcript is available to read during video play.
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
2020-09-10
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COVID-19 Pandemic in Africa: Impact, Responses, and Lessons from Ghana, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Rwanda
From the Document: "The outbreak of the novel coronavirus [2019] (COVID-19) has caused widespread disruption of lives the world over. In response, governments have elevated the pandemic to the level of national security and instituted measures to mitigate its spread and impact. In Africa, the spread of infections across the continent has pushed African governments to initiate extraordinary responses. These include mandatory quarantines, social distancing, border closures, travel restrictions, bans on social and religious gatherings, and curfews. While these measures have partially contributed to Africa's relatively low infection rate, they have adversely affected the socio-economic and political landscape of most states across the continent. According to the World Bank, as a result of the pandemic, economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2020 will decline from 2.4 percent, as initially projected, to between -2.1 percent and -5.1 percent. As a result, the region will likely experience its first recession in 25 years. Politically, preparations for scheduled elections in 2020 in several countries are under threat. Moreover, some African leaders are instrumentalizing COVID-19 to perpetuate their incumbency, including by shrinking the space for political participation and dissenting views. In light of the foregoing, this paper examines the impact of COVID-19 and response strategies in Africa with a specific focus on three countries--Ghana, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), and Rwanda."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Frimpong, Osei Baffour; Minani Bihuzo Bin Kakuru, Rigobert, 1960-; Commodore, Richmond
2020-09
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Severing a Lifeline: How the Coronavirus Pandemic Threatens Remittances to Venezuela
From the Document: "Over 5 million people have fled Venezuela to escape its political turmoil, unstable economy, and ongoing humanitarian crisis. Remittances serve as a crucial lifeline to family members back home; they have become Venezuela's second largest legal source of foreign income after oil and constitute a key driver of local consumption. It is estimated that over two million households in Venezuela, approximately one third of all homes in the country, receive remittances from family members working abroad. [...] However, recent estimates by the World Bank suggest that the global coronavirus pandemic threatens to cut annual remittances to Latin America overall by more than 19 percent."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Latin American Program
Fong, Xander
2020-08
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Financial Inclusion in the COVID-19 Era: Policy Responses in West Africa
From the Document: "The success of mobile money (MM) in East Africa since its introduction in 2007 has spawned a greater interest in issues of financial inclusion across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Since 2010, a growing number of SSA countries have prioritized financial inclusion as a key driver of development and the Sustainable Development Goals. Several have either launched or are developing national financial inclusion strategies and have signed up to various compacts aimed at boosting financial inclusion. MM services are at the core of these strategies, and many financial regulators are scaling up efforts to make these services an integral part of national payments infrastructure. According to the World Bank's Global Findex report (2017), the share of adults in SSA with access to accounts in financial institutions or MM services increased from 34 percent to 43 percent in the period, 2011 to 2017. The report further states that whereas the share of adults in SSA with accounts in financial institutions remained flat over this period, adults with MM accounts nearly doubled, from 12 percent in 2014 to 21 percent in 2017. SSA is now a global leader in the use of MM, accounting for 45.6 percent of the world's MM customers. This progress notwithstanding, the region is still home to the world's largest unbanked population and has a wide gender gap in terms of access."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Commodore, Richmond
2020-07
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Back to School in Brazil: Social Distancing Edition
From the Document: "On July 8, 2020, the Brazil Institute and the Lemann Foundation, with the support of the AWS Institute, convened a discussion on the future of education in Brazil in a world with COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019], and how educators and policymakers can leverage technology effectively to allow students and teachers to return to a newly-digital classroom."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. Brazil Institute; AWS Institute; Fundação Lemann
2020-07
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Tunisian Women Doctors Leading the Struggle Against COVID-19: Hope for the Rise of a New Ethical Culture
From the Document: "[T]he context of the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic has provided an opportunity for a number of Tunisian women doctors, caregivers and psychologists to gain visibility and sometimes even fame. These women are found across the spectrum of the Tunisian medical establishment from doctors, frontline staff, to researchers and bureau chiefs in the Ministry of Health. This essay presents a number of cases of women who emerged during this critical time. Beginning with a brief discussion of the history of Tunisian women in medicine, we will then turn to how the country has reacted and dealt with the pandemic and its economic and social consequences. From that discussion we will address several cases of specific women doctors and psychologists whose elevated public positions have made them well known figures in Tunisia's confrontation with the crisis. Finally, the emergence of these women as public leaders conducting an objective and deliberate response to the problem suggest the development of a new scientific and ethical culture following the long period of democratic transition ongoing since January 2011."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Labidi, Lilia
2020-06
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Quality of Life Crossborder Collaboration on Public Health: The 2009 U.S. - Mexico Response to H1N1
From the Key Findings: "[1] The United States, Mexico, and Canada had been formally planning for a possible pandemic originating in Asia since shortly after the 2003 SARS [severe acute respiratory syndrome] outbreak. The Security and Prosperity Partnership, begun in 2005 by the Bush, Fox, and Martin administrations, became the key forum to develop truly regional plans for pandemic response. [2] Although H1N1 [Swine flu] developed into a pandemic and thus quickly superseded efforts at containment, years of collaborative efforts to track and address infectious diseases by federal, state, and local agencies along the U.S.-Mexico border helped communication and monitoring of the disease. As is the case with many pandemics, H1N1 developed and spread very quickly. As such, there was little time to develop new mechanisms or relationships. Officials had to rely on the prior planning where they could and improvise where there were no plans. [3] Addressing pandemics in the U.S.-Mexico requires close coordination across agencies and borders. [...] [4] Because of the rapid spread of H1N1 that surpassed border controls and the importance of crossborder U.S.-Mexico trade to both economies, a consensus developed in the spring of 2009 among U.S. and Mexican officials that closing the U.S.-Mexico border was neither desirable nor helpful."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Lee, Erik
2020-06
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Violent Non-State Actors and COVID-19: Challenge or Opportunity? Part 1 [video]
From the Description: "Has the pandemic created challenges or opportunities for non-state actors across the globe? Join us on May 26 for a look at how terrorist groups, transnational crime organizations, gangs and cartels have reacted to coronavirus and what the future may hold for their operations."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
2020-05-27
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Arms Control in the COVID-19 Era: No Next Step Without New START
From the Document: "While the world's attention is riveted on the deadly COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic, another urgent existential threat is quietly growing in the background: the steady termination of nuclear arms control treaties between the United States and the Russian Federation and the absence of new arms control negotiations. The robust programs and treaties that emerged in the decades following the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis have fallen by the wayside, leaving us with only one treaty limiting nuclear weapon stockpiles. The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) is scheduled to expire on February 5, 2021. If New START is allowed to expire without extension, revision, or replacement, we will suddenly find ourselves at risk of a new arms race in an uncertain post-COVID-19 world order that could prove even more dangerous than the depths of the Cold War."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Zwack, Peter B.
2020-05
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Crisis Within a Crisis: Venezuela and COVID-19
From the Document: "The coronavirus pandemic has wreaked havoc around the globe, taking its toll in human lives and lost economic activity. The extent of the damage, however, depends on multiple factors--political leadership, health infrastructure, and underlying social and economic conditions. Viruses thrive in the context of poverty and inequality, where dire living conditions make large segments of the population vulnerable to disease and healthcare and social services are inadequate or practically non-existent. Latin America may well be one of the regions most affected by the pandemic. [...] Within Latin America, Venezuelans are at a particularly high risk of becoming sick and dying. A May 6, 2020, press release by a group of United Nations experts put it bluntly: 'The government must immediately explain how it intends to support people, many of whom are teetering on the brink of survival.' [...] This bulletin examines the humanitarian crisis that preceded the coronavirus pandemic in Venezuela in order to understand why the country is so vulnerable to the disease. It provides a brief overview of the government's response and analyzes the conditions in the food and healthcare sectors that have left Venezuelans overwhelmingly sick and hungry. The report then discusses the situation of Venezuelans migrants and refugees in other countries of the region. Each section concludes with an analysis of the international response to the crisis and provides recommendations for improving that response."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Van Praag, Oriana; Arnson, Cynthia
2020-05
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Pandemics and Beyond: The Potential for U.S.-Mexico Cooperation in Public Health
From the Document: "The outbreak and global spread of the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease] coronavirus is having a profound impact on health systems and on decision-makers across the world. In North America, the response has been varied, with problems in testing for the virus in both the United States and Mexico, and an outlook that, at the time of writing, suggests that hospitals and medical professionals will be overwhelmed by the peak of the outbreak. While the short-term future for all three countries looks highly complicated, the prospects for Mexico seem particularly perilous. The last of the North American neighbors to be hit by the pandemic, Mexico faces an extra challenge due to limited resource availability. Slowly the government appears to be waking up to the severity of the crisis, but there are widespread fears that the health system will be totally overwhelmed by the approaching crisis, with medicine in short supply and budgetary cuts hitting health care delivery even before the outbreak. As the pandemic progresses, it has been observed that different countries are hitting peak contagion at different times. This raises a problem in the context of an integrated North American economy. For, once the United States has brought the pandemic under control in its own territory, Mexico may still be awaiting peak infection rates. In this circumstance, cross-border assistance is going to become vital."
Mexico Institute; Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Rudman, Andrew I.; Wood, Duncan R. (Duncan Robert), 1968-
2020-03
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Beyond the COVID-19 Horizon: What to Watch in 2020
From the Document: "When our first edition of 'On the Horizon' came out last year, I imagined a steady progression of the Center's [Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars] excellent work. As you know, we have been rated by our peers as first in regional expertise for three years in a row. But it never crossed my mind that a huge pandemic and protests in American cities over racial injustice would change our world--possibly forever. Most Center staff have been on enhanced telework for three months, and all our programs are virtual. This has not slowed us down: we've had over 80 programs analyzing the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic from every region and every angle! Just as impressive, we've kept focus on rising U.S.-China tensions over Taiwan and Hong Kong, unraveling norms across Latin America and Central Europe, constitutional changes in Russia, Africa's enormous progress with technology, the 'infodemic' of misinformation and disinformation, the crumbling Afghan peace deal, and much more. I have written elsewhere that terrorist organizations and rogue regimes are not biding their time while we confront COVID-19. Neither is the Center. This second edition displays some of our insights and thought leadership. What we do best is to explain the world to Washington and Washington to the world."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
2020
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Violent Non-State Actors and COVID-19: Challenge or Opportunity? [inforgraphic]
This infographic contains information on "[h]ow COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] has affected terrorist groups, organized crime groups, cartels, and gangs in specific regions."
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
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