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Risks and Restrictions: Striking the Right Balance
From the Overview: "Cases of the virus continue to rise in the UK, as do deaths and hospitalisations. While the vaccination programme is providing substantial protection, it does not remove the danger of the NHS [National Health Service] being overwhelmed again, and there are associated risks of additional pressures that come from all the untreated conditions and waiting lists that have accumulated over the course of the pandemic. Infections will continue to rise, putting an increasing number of people at risk of developing Long Covid [coronavirus disease]. [...] The problem with the government's present strategy is that it risks generating confusion that will undermine the efficacy of its approach. Our view is that everything is simpler to understand and implement if we are clear in the distinction between vaccinated and unvaccinated people. Otherwise we are in danger of loosening restrictions too extensively, for example, in relation to mask-wearing, while being too rigid in other instances, for example, the isolation provisions around NHS Track and Trace. We go on to explain here what we consider to be a far more balanced approach to risks and restrictions."
Tony Blair Institute for Global Change
De Boer, Joanna; Britto, David; Miller, Brianna . . .
2021-07-18
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Passing the Test: How to Safely Reopen the Economy
From the Overview: "The government has published its plan to reopen the country. And with an ending to this phase of Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] nightmare now in sight, optimism has returned. But this plan can only become a reality if it takes a number of careful steps. [...] This paper sets out: [1] The progress the UK has made on mass testing. [2] What rapid tests are now available. [3] Why the critical element of our testing capacity will be rapid tests. [4] The role of testing, using the right tests for the right purpose. [5] How we incentivise people to test and, where necessary, isolate. [6] How we get testing in schools right. [7] How testing links to an overall digital health passport. Things we thought impossible at the beginning of this crisis have now become reality. We must continue to be ambitious in our thinking and embrace innovation and new ideas. This paper sets out the 'moonshots' the UK and others should focus on when it comes to monitoring the spread of Covid-19, and also proposes a new 'testing wallet', where people are paid to be tested. Our recommendations offer a way forward for the country that will allow the economy to revive and lives to be protected. It offers an alternative to the blunt instrument of lockdowns and a way for the government to truly ensure that this latest exit out of lockdown is indeed irreversible."
Tony Blair Institute for Global Change
Beacon, Rosie; De Boer, Joanna; Miller, Brianna . . .
2021-03-06
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Levelling Up Health Care: Build the NHS Back Better
From the Foreword: "The Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic has pushed every health-care system in the world to its limits. The NHS [National Health Service] is no exception. The acute short-term pressures it faces when combined with longer-term challenges like an ageing population are threatening to overwhelm the system. There is much talk of the NHS facing a 'winter crisis', but the truth is that we face a crisis that has been getting worse for years, not just over one season. [...] The care system's immediate and deeper challenges must be dealt with in tandem. A long-term plan is needed to address both. This paper sets out important recommendations on how this can be done. It argues that simply doing more of the same will get the same result: waiting times, for example, had been rising for years before the pandemic hit. The lesson from the 2000s is that only when far-reaching reforms were put in place - alongside the right level of resources - did services improve and waiting times fall. The paper rightly argues that by fully embracing the possibilities of technology, the care system can meet the challenges it faces. It is easy in the midst of day-to-day pressures to lose sight of the fact that the alignment between genomic science and data analytics is opening up the possibility of a system that is better able to prevent disease, personalise care and empower patients. The key job of the system's leaders is to have the courage to harness these technologies so that outcomes improve and inequalities narrow."
Tony Blair Institute for Global Change
Summers, Harry; Mant, Kitty; Ramli, Rania . . .
2021-10-22
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