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Is China Challenging the Global State of Democracy?
From the Abstract: "With its economic success, China seems to convey to the world that democracy is not a prerequisite for prosperity and social well-being. This paper seeks to explore whether and how the rise of authoritarian China may affect the state of democracy worldwide. It argues that at least for now, China may not intend to challenge the global state of democracy by actively blocking the expansion of democracy or promoting authoritarianism. However, China's growing global influence, along with its overseas activities in defending the Chinese Communist Party regime and seeking greater international status, have had a negative impact on liberal democracy."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Chen, Emily S.
2019-06
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In Search of Organizing Principle
"The Pacific Forum CSIS [Center for Strategic and International Studies] , with support from NPS/PASCC [Naval Postgraduate School/Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD] and the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, held a US-China Dialogue on Strategic Nuclear Dynamics in Washington, DC on March 22-23, 2017. More than 40 Chinese and US experts, officials, military officers, and observers met in their private capacities to discuss US-China strategic relations with an emphasis on its nuclear dimension. The off-the-record discussions covered comparative assessments of US-China strategic relations, organizing principles, the concept of integrated strategic deterrence, potential areas for US-China nuclear cooperation, and approaches for preventing and managing crises with North Korea."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Cossa, Ralph A.
2017-07
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Progress Continues, but Disagreements Remain: The Seventh China-US Strategic Dialogue on Strategic Nuclear Dynamics & the Inaugural China-US Dialogue on Space Security
"The Pacific Forum CSIS [Center for Strategic & International Studies], with the China Foundation for International and Strategic Studies [...] held the 7th China-US Strategic Nuclear Dynamics Dialogue on Jan. 28-29, 2013. Some 80 Chinese and US experts, officials, military officers, and observers along with eight Pacific Forum Young Leaders attended, all in their private capacity. The level of the Chinese delegation was relatively senior, consistent with last year's meeting, and included several active duty 'two-star' officers, and significant participation from the Second Artillery. They joined two days of off-the-record discussion of nuclear policies, current proliferation challenges, cross-domain deterrence, crisis management, and prospects for bilateral cooperation. Key findings from this meeting include: There is a certain edge, both in the room and in the overall bilateral relationship, caused by increased Chinese assertiveness toward its neighbors (US view) and/or the US 'rebalance' toward Asia and its impact: an increased willingness by China's neighbors (especially US allies) to challenge its territorial sovereignty (Chinese view). Some Chinese argued this increasingly competitive environment made it more difficult to discuss sensitive nuclear issues. Nonetheless, mutual familiarity generated by past meetings allowed for a generally positive, cooperative dialogue, especially when examining areas of potential future cooperation, common concerns, or definitions and/or protection of 'common goods.' Both Chinese and US participants see value in track 1.5 and track 2 discussions of strategic nuclear and related policy issues as a means of laying the foundation for discussions at the official level and of reinforcing progress at track 1, if and when it gets started." Note: This document has been added to the Homeland Security Digital Library in agreement with the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) as part of the PASCC collection. Permission to download and/or retrieve this resource has been obtained through PASCC.
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Santoro, David; Cossa, Ralph A.
2013-01
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Keep an Eye on North Korean Cyber-Crime as the COVID-19 Spreads
From the Document: "The Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] outbreak continues to cause tumult in the global economy, with countries like South Korea and Italy reporting a rapid increase in diagnoses and many companies requesting that employees work from home to keep the virus from spreading. In North Korea's case, it has had its Chinese borders closed for over a month, long before the rest of the world began to react to the virus. Even if it were, as its state media claims, coronavirus-free, how long could their economy sustain total global isolation? By sealing their border with their largest economic partner, North Korea has effectively placed itself at the mercy of UN sanctions. [...] To ensure that their country can continue to function while they weather the global crisis, North Korea may very likely double down on cybercrime. While smuggling and other forms of illicit trading require the physical moving of goods and/or services, cybercrime can be committed from anywhere, even a sealed North Korea."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Wiesel, Todd
2020-03-17
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Philippine and Indonesian Militaries' War on COVID-19, and What it Means for Reform
From the Document: "Faced with limited resources and poor health care systems, Indonesia and the Philippines have used their militaries to contain the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic. President Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo of Indonesia and President Rodrigo Duterte of the Philippines are known for their heavy reliance on military resources. The Covid-19 response has proven this dependency as the two presidents put military men in charge of task forces to handle the pandemic, hoping the organizational effectiveness of the armed forces would produce a fruitful outcome. While this pragmatic approach might be useful in the short term, continuation of this strategy could strain civil-military relations in the long term."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Anindya, Chaula Rininta
2020-04-15
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Pacific Forum Coverage on COVID-19
From the Document: "The Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic has changed how people live and work around the world, and regional security experts in the Indo-Pacific are no exception. 2020 looked to be a year of important firsts - like Xi Jinping's first state visit to Japan in April - and crucial diplomatic maneuvering - like the Las Vegas summit the US set for March to smooth over remaining tensions with ASEAN [Association of Southeast Asian Nations] leaders. Both are now cancelled, and for the time being negotiations take place in different, and generally distant, settings. But regional security and diplomacy are as relevant as ever."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
York, Rob
2020-04-10
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COVID-19: As China Recovers, Will Its Economy Follow?
From the Document: "President Xi Jinping's visit to the epicentre of the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic in Wuhan in mid-March should be understood as the end of the 1st-order problems associated with the outbreak. With the health crisis potentially under control, what lies ahead will further challenge the authoritarian regime as the 2nd- and 3rd-order problems associated with the mismanagement of the initial outbreak ensue and serious downstream consequences for China and the global economy emerge."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Nagy, Stephen Robert
2020-03-27
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China's Eight Arguments Against Western 'Hubris' and Why They Fail
From the Document: "The poor performance of Western Europe and the United States during the pandemic has revived Western declinism. A recent example is an essay by Zhou Bo of the Center of China-American Defense Relations, Academy of Military Science of the Chinese People's Liberation Army. Zhou's assertions are important, but also mainly wrong, and therefore call for a critique."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Roy, Denny, 1960-
2020-05-01
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Five Reasons Why Xi's 'Peking Model' Will Struggle Post-COVID-19
From the Document: "Xi Jinping's model of governance--from an economically prosperous 'Chinese dream' for its people to a 'Community of Shared Future for Humanity' with China leading the way--has provided the reference points for Beijing's diplomacy. That the Chinese political system can help build an equitable order favoring the developing world has been central to Xi's international outreach. The objective of such an order is to position China at the helm of a 'Sino-centric' global order--a 'Peking model.' The model not only promotes Xi as 'globalizer in chief,' but also creates a wall of regulations between China and the world by controlling the flow of capital, ideas, and culture, ensuring regime sustainability for the Communist Party of China domestically. In the post Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] order this will not be easy for China, and Xi's Peking model will come under serious challenges."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Panda, Jagannath P.
2020-04-07
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Re-Opening Hawaii's Non-Tourism Economy: Lessons from the Asia-Pacific
From the Document: "This brief aims to analyze successful Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] response measures in selected Asia-Pacific states and assess whether they can be replicated in the state of Hawaii. These include countries such as Singapore, New Zealand, Taiwan, and South Korea, which have so far been able to 'flatten the curve' at a much greater scale than most other countries."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Benincasa, Eugenio
2020-06-15
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Post COVID-19, the US-China Rivalry Will Only Get Worse
From the Document: "While it's become commonplace to say that the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] crisis will lead to a 'new normal' in international affairs, it's not at all clear what that means or indeed what 'normal' has been in recent years. Some commentators are seeing the crisis as a 'game-changer,' but that is far from certain--the tendency once the crisis has past may well be to simply lapse back into old habits and patterns. In some areas, patterns and attitudes that are already evident will be accentuated. To take one example, those who have been suspicious of China will have even more reason to be suspicious, while those who have been excusing China and overlooking its negatives will have even more excuses to offer. [...] It's hard to see the US-China relationship going any way but backwards. This is usually the case in an American election year. This year, with China's failings more evident and with the pandemic hitting the US so badly, the political class will focus even more on China and in particular the administration will want to blame China."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Cossa, Ralph A.
2020-05-22
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Taiwan's COVID-19 Diplomacy and WHO Participation: Losing the Battle but Winning the War?
From the Document: "Taiwan's pragmatic 'warm power' diplomacy during the coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak represents a low-key approach to boosting its international participation while minimizing the burden for its sympathetic international partners and friends. The government of President Tsai Ing-Wen's successful management of the Covid-19 crisis has also made a strong case for liberal democracies as the superior form of government for public health crisis governance. This, in turn, has translated into more positive international publicity for Taiwan, as well as greater opportunities to network with other states' relevant agencies and potentials for functional spillover into other forms of cooperation at the governmental level."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Sung, Wen-Ti
2020-05-29
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China's Post-COVID Geopolitical 'Either/Or'
From the Document: "As the coronavirus crisis continues to reshape geopolitical contours and dynamics, the rivalry between China and the United States has deteriorated markedly. Divisions over China's re-emergence as the first-in and first-out of the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] ward have thereby deepened. At issue is whether China's virus-fighting assistance and its post-Covid position in the world is accepted or resisted. The either/or proposition of whether 'you are with us or against us,' not long ago admonished by Washington, is increasingly coming from Beijing."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Pongsudhirak, Thitinan
2020-06-04
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China's Recent Legislative Responses to COVID-19
From the Document: "A degree of certainty will soon arrive after months of speculation surrounding the future of China's public health policies. The 17th session of the 13th National People's Congress (NPC) Standing Committee commenced in late April, and will for the first time thoroughly review amendments to existing public health and sanitation legislation--such as wildlife consumption, animal sanitation, and medical waste disposal laws--potentially adopting them by the end of the 10- to 14-day session."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Lu, Xintao
2020-05?
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China's Inopportune Pandemic Assertiveness
From the Document: "For a state just beginning to recover from Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019], China has been remarkably active in pressing its sovereignty claims. Chinese forces have been involved in a spate of incidents around its borders, most recently a series of tense encounters with India. Foreign media have seized on this as another example of Chinese opportunism, in which Beijing shamelessly presses its territorial agenda against weaker rivals still in the throes of the disease. However, China's actions also constitute a strategic blunder, sacrificing the propaganda value of its contributions to regional pandemic responses and weakening its long-running attempts to dilute US influence. This gives Washington a second chance at drawing a contrast with China and demonstrating concrete leadership for a region still reeling from Covid-19's effects."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Wuthnow, Joel
2020-06-09
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COVID-19: Boosting Indo-Pacific Alignment and India's Regional Role
From the Document: "Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] is regarded by many as the catalyst for a new world order, pivoted toward the Indo-Pacific--the geopolitical and geoeconomic nerve center of the 21st century. Faced with the common challenge of a nontraditional security emergency, Covid-19 has caused significant strategic shifts, lending traction to the Indo-Pacific security architecture. This is witnessed in the emerging role of the Quad as a multilateral formation committed to an enhanced partnership in the post-Covid-19 world order. Three primary factors drove the shift from the Asia-Pacific to the Indo-Pacific: the rise of China, the rise of India's economic and strategic clout, and most importantly, the growing importance of the Indian Ocean as a strategic trade corridor carrying almost two-thirds of global oil shipments and a third of bulk cargo. Covid-19 has provided a boost to the Indo-Pacific security framework, as exemplified by the active role of the Quad."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Jash, Amrita
2020-06-12
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Impact of COVID-19 on Women in Hawaii and Asia-Pacific
From the Introduction: "Women's voices are missing from Hawaii's Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] economic response and recovery plan while the pandemic exacerbates existing inequalities that hinder female empowerment. The coronavirus crisis is negatively affecting women's economic participation and empowerment, has led to greater rates of gender-based violence, and has disrupted access to sexual and reproductive health. This article reviews the current literature for Hawaii, the United States and Asia and the Pacific to examine the ways that Covid-19 is disproportionately affecting women. It is divided into three sections: economy, gender-based violence, and sexual and reproductive health. It concludes with policy recommendations for the State of Hawaii and governments in Asia and the Pacific considering deepening structural inequalities."
Pacific Forum, CSIS
Howe, Jennifer
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U.S.- China Strategic Dialogues [PASCC Research in Progress]
"China is currently modernizing its military capabilities, including its nuclear arsenal, and there remains a lack of official discussions on these issues. This communications gap increases the risks to strategic stability and the potential for inadvertent escalation. This project's goal is to build greater understanding between the United States and China on strategic issues to prepare for or support official discussions. This dialogue project will build upon previous PASCC-sponsored U.S.-China Track 1.5s to achieve a deeper understanding of the issues. Less-official dialogues such as this one, while not a substitution for official dialogues, can be used to help identify and clarify agenda items for official talks as well as delve more deeply into sensitive issues. Expected topics to be addressed include nuclear postures, nonproliferation policy, no first use, mutual vulnerability, missile defense, strategic stability, long-range conventional weapons, and confidence-building measures." This document has been added to the Homeland Security Digital Library in agreement with the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) as part of the PASCC collection. Permission to download and/or retrieve this resource has been obtained through PASCC.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Contemporary Conflict; Pacific Forum, CSIS
Cossa, Ralph A.; Twomey, Christopher P.; Glosny, Michael A.
2015-05
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'The Lynchpin' Grapples with Frustration and Distrust: The Fourth US-ROK Strategic Dialogue, February 2012
"The US-ROK [United States-Republic of Korea] alliance is strong -- many consider it the strongest US alliance in Asia today. President Obama has visited Seoul more than any other capital during his term in office and refers to the bilateral alliance as 'the lynchpin of not only security for the Republic of Korea and the United States but also for the Pacific as a whole...' Given this felicitous state, it is jarring then to hear that more than two-thirds of the ROK public seeks the reintroduction of US tactical nuclear weapons on their territory or, failing that, the development of an indigenous nuclear capability. In an attempt to understand this anomalous situation -- a strong alliance in which one partner seems insecure enough to seek new nuclear guarantees -- the Pacific Forum CSIS [Center for Strategic and International Studies], with support from the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA), brought 30 senior security specialists, academics, and current and former government officials from the United States and the Republic of Korea (all attending in their private capacities), and 17 Pacific Forum CSIS Young Leaders to Hawaii in February 2012 for two days of discussion on the status and future of the security alliance. Although the bilateral relationship is as strong as ever, many issues will strain this relationship in the months ahead. While this report has been reviewed by all participants, it is not meant to be a consensus document; its conclusions reflect the views of the chair alone." Note: This document has been added to the Homeland Security Digital Library in agreement with the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) as part of the PASCC collection. Permission to download and/or retrieve this resource has been obtained through PASCC.
United States. Defense Threat Reduction Agency; Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Contemporary Conflict; Pacific Forum, CSIS
Santoro, David; Glosserman, Brad
2012-06
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