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Laying the Foundations of DPRK Energy Security: 1990-2020 Energy Balances, Engagement Options, and Future Paths for Energy and Economic Redevelopment
From the Executive Summary: "The purpose of this report is to provide policymakers and other interested parties with an overview of the evolution of demand for and supply of energy in the Democratic Peoples' Republic of Korea (DPRK) over the last three decades. [...] Building on previous energy balances prepared for 1990, 1996, 2000, and 2005, 2008 through 2010, and 2014, the authors assembled information from as many data sources as possible to update our earlier work and to provide estimates of recent-year energy supply and demand in the DPRK. Somewhat revised results of the 1990, and 1996 energy balances, which provide the underpinnings of our updated DPRK energy sector analysis, as well as a detailed description of input parameters and assumptions used in the analytical process, are presented in Chapter 2 of the Report that follows."
Nautilus Institute
von Hippel, David; Hayes, Peter, 1953-
2021-04
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Let Nagasaki be the Last! 19 Pandemic-Nuclear Nexus Policy Measures in Northeast Asia
From the Document: "This report identifies future scenarios, challenges and opportunities for governments, civil society, and market actors to reduce existential risks, including nuclear risks, in Northeast Asia. The findings are the culmination of a series of scenario planning workshops imagining highly uncertain future conditions and generating a series of 'robust actions' that if taken today would ensure that states and societies are better prepared for future risks. Many of the report's recommendations are drawn from lessons from the pandemic for addressing nuclear threats including constituent engagement, technological solutions, and regional approaches."
Nautilus Institute
Panel on Peace and Security of Northeast Asia (PSNA)
2021-01-30
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DPRK's COVID-19 Outbreak and Its Response
From the Introduction: "In this essay, Shin Yeong-jeon notes that both the DPRK [North Korea] and the United States say 'No Problem' when it comes to the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic in the DPRK: 'The DPRK is voicing 'No Problem' despite the economic sanctions of the United States and the United Nations. The United States also argues that US-led international sanctions are not the cause of humanitarian disasters in the DPRK. This 'No Problem' collusion pattern can invite dangerous consequences, which not only distorts the facts but can also lead to many victims, making intervention difficult by missing confirmation timing for catastrophic situations such as famine. This is similar to the 'No Problem' collusion pattern in the North Korean famine of the late 1990s.' In light of the DPRK's emerging Covid-19 and food crises, he concludes that 'The DPRK needs to establish a more open cooperation system with the international community including the ROK and the United States. The United States also needs to make sure that the DPRK is not in extreme situations or makes its worst choices. To this end, it is necessary to change the policy on the Korean Peninsula that the Obama and Trump administrations took in the past, and the core of this is to proceed with step-by-step denuclearization while opening the possibility of peace and prosperity through the vitalization of exchanges between the two Koreas.'"
Nautilus Institute
Yeong-jeon, Shin
2021-03-03
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Role of Cities as First Responders to Pandemics: Focusing on the Case of the Seoul Metropolitan Government's Response to COVID-19
From the Abstract: "This study was conducted to discuss the role of urban governments in the future, including intercity network construction, by reviewing cases of responding to COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] in Seoul amid changes in the international situation caused by COVID-19. This paper is organized into four sections. First, this paper described the outbreak of COVID-19 in Seoul from January to August 2020 and the Seoul city's response over time. Second, the background of Alliance for Multilateralism and inter-city cooperation in accordance with the changes in the international situation due to COVID-19 was explained. Third, the response of the Seoul Metropolitan Government to the pandemic was reviewed based on the following four characteristics: (i) Social distancing; (ii) Enhanced contact tracing; (iii) Widespread testing; and, (iv) Early preparation. Finally, this paper reviewed how Seoul city cooperated with overseas cities in order to overcome the pandemic crisis, as well as the cases in which 25 autonomous districts of Seoul shared their policies using the Healthy Cities Network."
Nautilus Institute
Shon, Changwoo
2020-10-28?
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Integrating Mini Grids into National Grids: Technical and Organizational Aspects
From the Introduction: "In this Special Report, Chris Greacen describes the technical and organizational aspects of integrating mini-grids into national grids, including technical, economic, and market issues related to interconnecting mini-grids, which are increasingly important in many countries as renewable generation becomes more cost-effective and practical, into national transmission systems. Some of the potential short- and longer-term impacts of the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic on mini-grid deployment are also noted."
Nautilus Institute
Greacen, Chris
2020-09-22
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Inter-Korean Solidarity Around COVID-19, Under the Northeast Asian Public Health Initiative (NEAPHI), as a Contribution to Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR+)
From the Introduction: "In this essay, Shin Young-jeon assesses the potential for the Northeast Asian Public Health Initiative (NEAPHI) to contribute to Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR+) given the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] situation in the DPRK [Democratic People's Republic of Korea] and the operational status, limitations, and future challenges that NEAPHI must address."
Nautilus Institute
Yeong-jeon, Shin
2021-11-02
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Impact of COVID-19 on the DPRK's Health System and Future Inter-Korean Biomedical Cluster Cooperation in the Post-Pandemic Era
From the Introduction: "In this essay, Sang Min Park discusses the impact of COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] and the international sanctions regime on the DPRK [The Democratic People's Republic of Korea] healthcare system, trends in global health aid for the DPRK and the role of the ROK [Republic of Korea], and a future inter-Korean Biomedical Cluster Cooperation model in a post-pandemic era, with implications for cooperative threat reduction (CTR+). [...] The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) is yet to confirm any official cases of COVID-19. Since the start of the pandemic in January 2020, the DPRK has taken extensive measures to control COVID-19, including imposing strict border controls, a 30-day quarantine for those with COVID-like symptoms, lockdowns of entire counties and cities, and a ban on travel between provinces. Several researchers have summarized the status of COVID-19 in the DPRK, its response to the pandemic, and the pandemic's impact on the economy and regional security of the DPRK. This paper will attempt to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the DPRK health system as well as its future implications in three major ways: 1) a brief update of the DPRK's response to COVID-19 epidemic in 2021 and its impacts on the DPRK health system; 2) trends in global health aid to the DPRK during the international sanctions regime and the role of the Republic of Korea (ROK) in the COVID-19 pandemic era; and 3) how to build a sustainable and synergistic horizontal inter-Korean cooperation model in the post-pandemic era."
Nautilus Institute
Park, Sang Min
2021-11-08
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