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Applying the Economic, Homeland and National Security Analysis Framework
"In 'Security and Prosperity: Reexamining the Relationship between Economic, Homeland and National Security' I used an analytical framework to identify key components of the Economic, Homeland and National Security relationship, explore their connection in the literature and the real world, and then identify the impact of 'metamorphic forces' that further shaped the relationship. This analysis refines the analytical (EHN) framework into seven components (Elements, Outside Forces, Complex Systems, Outcomes, Analysis, Reimagination, and Transformation), summarizes its initial application, and tests the validity of its application to another homeland security issue."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2016-05
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Violent Salafi Jihadism [audio]
Lisa Palmieri (CHDS [Center for Homeland Defense and Security] cohort 1402) is part of DHS working in intelligence and analysis. In this episode of the Reflecting Pool podcast, Bijan and Lisa discuss how Violent Salafi Jihadism (VSJ) motivated the September 11 hijackers, but it is poorly understood by homeland security practitioners because of the muddled definitions that abound in the homeland security discourse. She talks about the importance of using precise language to define this threat in order to achieve a common understanding of the VSJ movement and develop a unified national strategy is warranted. This audio has a running time of 13 minutes and 32 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.; Palmieri, Lisa M.
2016-12-19
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Adaptive SOPs [audio]
"Standard operating procedures (SOPs) guide emergency responders in a crisis, providing predetermined steps to manage anticipated events. However, modern disasters often manifest as complex systems and produce unanticipated outcomes. As a consequence, the application of prediction-dependent SOPs to prediction-defiant scenarios yields ineffective emergency management. Harwood's research proposes two practical, executable means of integrating adaptability into SOP-driven crisis response: the use of prompts and crisis co-pilots. Both of which help an emergency responder identify divergence from predicted behavior and encourage adaptation in the field." This audio has a running time of 11 minutes and 4 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Harwood, Shawn M.; Karimi, Bijan P.
2017-05-02
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Quantifying the Negative [audio]
"For most homeland security agencies, success is measured by preventing events. However, when it comes to budgets it can be hard to quantify what didn't happen and make the case for continued funding. For Sacramento Fire Captain Eric Saylors (cohort 1403/1404), his department's performance was measured in terms of tangible loss reduction, but the metric was flawed because it ignored the unmeasured performance of a fire department that saved nearby at-risk properties and businesses. So he proposed a new measurement of success: the saved ratio. This new metric quantifies damages and business losses that were prevented thanks to the suppression actions of an effective fire department and includes that as part of the department's value." This audio has a running time of 10 minutes and 39 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.; Saylors, Eric
2016-12-19
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Sovereign Citizens [audio]
"Michelle Mallek (CHDS [Center for Homeland Defense and Security] cohort 1401) is legal counsel at FEMA and decided to study 'Sovereigns' because much of the terrorist discussion in mainstream media is focused on external threats. In this episode of the Reflecting Pool podcast, Bijan and Michelle discuss how recent events have exposed the very real domestic challenges we face from individuals that actively espouse their anti-government views and use a wide range of tactics to confront law enforcement and government representatives." This audio has a running time of 12 minutes and 46 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.; Mallek, Michelle M.
2017-04-18
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Issue Attention Cycle [audio]
"In this inaugural Reflecting Pool podcast, host Bijan Karimi talks to USCG [U.S. Coast Guard] Lt. Chris Kimrey (CHDS [Center for Homeland Defense and Security] Master's cohort 1402) about how emerging problems often surprise lawmakers and agency officials which can result in rapid, reactive governance. Chris talks about re-purposing physics equations to quantify the primary characteristics that influence the emergence of attention pertaining to a crisis and how he developed a repeatable model whereby an emerging crisis can be evaluated by its characteristics to predict the likely reaction of government." This audio has a running time of 10 minutes and 18 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.; Kimrey, Christopher M.
2016-12-19
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Improving Human Performance Through Mindfulness [audio]
From the Webpage: "First responders prepare themselves physically for complex and chaotic situations but what about mental preparedness. Yonkers Fire Department Assistant Chief John Flynn (Masters 1501/ELP 1301) wanted to know if responders could optimize their crisis decision making through mindfulness training. He studied the predominant decision-making paradigms, frameworks, models and systems, alongside various mindfulness training programs and practices, to determine if mindfulness training would be a worthwhile means of enhancing first-responder crisis decision-making. John's research found that mindfulness training may improve certain human factors, skills and abilities which correlate with enhanced first responder crisis decision-making, with a consequent significant improvement of outcomes during future emergencies and disasters."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2019-11-07
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: The Human-Machine Interface: Promise and Peril [audio]
From the Webpage: "The human-machine interface found in today's complex machines introduces unprecedented opportunities for promise and peril. Jackie Lindsey (Masters 1601), currently the Cabinet Secretary at the New Mexico Department of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, studied several theories that try to explain this human-intelligent machine interface and predict how the future will look. Her research into the causal variables that led to the first vehicular auto-pilot fatality generated unique insights. Lindsey combined accident investigation findings with human-machine interface heuristics, cognitive psychology theories to evaluate the human-machine interface, and offers a counter-narrative called Brown's Point that ensures the most benefit and safe way forward for humanity in this rapidly evolving environment."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2019-08-06
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Use-of-Force Doctrine in Policing [webcast]
"Reports of police use of excessive force appear weekly in the media and have generated outrage in many communities. Officers actions are currently judged by the Graham v Connor 'standard of reasonableness', but the Police Executive Research Forum (PERF) does not believe that goes far enough and recommend policy changes. Tracy Avelar (CHDS Master's cohort 1505/1506) is a Captain with the Foster City CA Police Department. Her research focused on evaluating whether adopting PERF's recommended standards would make a difference in practice and in public perception. This question is again coming to light with legislation being introduced in California to change the standard from 'reasonable' to 'necessary'. The interview also includes reflections on my own actions when put in use of force scenarios."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2018-05-18
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Unbounded Risk [audio]
"Providing perfect security in an era of unbounded risk is impossible. In my interview with Jack Anderson (Masters 1401), we talk about caribou scapula divination among Canadian nomadic tribes, jazz standards, particle accelerators, black swan events and using photographs of concealed snipers to understand how the dangers homeland security agencies face are increasingly beyond their control. Jack's research shows how the response to such unbounded risks presumes a greater degree of knowledge, uniformity, and control than is available and that national adaptability is more desirable than perfect knowledge when responding to the unknown."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2019-02-07
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Information Laundering [audio]
From the Webpage: "How is it that fringe stories and counterfeit narratives get traction, enter mainstream media, and are accepted as fact? Intelligence expert Samantha Korta (Masters 1605/1606 aka 1611) studied information laundering to discover how propagandists take advantage of the interconnectedness of the Internet as well as online technologies such as computational propaganda, echo chambers, and advertising to cheat the internet ecosystem and rapidly spread influential but illegitimate content to undermine the credibility and authority of legitimate sources. These intentional and harmful falsehoods spread in the virtual world can influence public discourse and manifest physically inciting violence, creating division, eroding trust, facilitating foreign influence during democratic elections, and even contributing to the rise in deadly but preventable diseases." This audio has a running time of 20 minutes and 20 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2019-05-07
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Better Safe Than Sorry [audio]
This podcast is part of the Reflecting Pool series and is 18 minutes and 52 seconds long. From the Webpage: "Why does the click-through rate on threatening headlines far exceed those that are more benign? Calling something a threat through provocative headline or soundbite, initiates a biological reaction that almost compels a person to find out more, but why is that? Multnomah County, OR Chief Operating Officer Marissa Madrigal (Masters 1605/1606 aka 1611) explores how the process of securitization (declaring something is an external threat) initiates a neurobiological process that often causes people to adopt a 'better safe than sorry' posture when deciding what actions to take in response to the perceived threat. Her research found evidence that this behavior is having an impact on homeland security-related decisions by creating a bias toward compulsive precautionary behavior rather than clear-minded cognitive reassessment and that our predictable behavior can be used against us."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2020-02-04
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Security and Prosperity: Reexamining the Connection Between Economic, Homeland and National Security
From the thesis abstract: "What is the relationship between economic, homeland, and national security? This question drove the investigation of journal articles and federal doctrine to determine the answer. Through qualitative and quantitative research, I explored definitions, examined connections, and made observations. From this effort I found that the definitions for these security elements are cloudy; furthermore, the relationships between the elements are primarily described in relation to the elements explored but not in the context of the security environment, which plays a significant role. Key findings include: 1) there is not a balanced relationship between economic security, homeland security, and national security; 2) the security relationship is an uneven overlap of the elements; and 3) metamorphic forces shape the security relationships. All combined, when some security decisions are being made they lead to unintended consequences. To align national security efforts, the focus should be on discussion the nation's health through the lens of security and prosperity. The first steps to accomplishing this goal are: 1) develop a national narrative, 2) integrate Department of Homeland Security and Department of Defense, 3) create a Department of Prosperity, 4) continue combatting violence and extremism and, 5) continue promoting prosperity abroad."
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.); Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2015-09
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Reflecting Pool Podcast: Transnational Crime and Malicious AI [audio]
From the Website: "Criminals are often early adopters of new technology and artificial intelligence is no different. Kevin Peters (Masters 1705/6), Chief for the National Threat Evaluation and Reporting (NTER) Program in the Office of Intelligence & Analysis at DHS [United States Department of Homeland Security] takes a close look at how transnational criminal organizations and cybercriminals may leverage developing AI [artificial intelligence] technology to conduct more sophisticated criminal activities and evade detection. He uses a future-scenario methodology to identify how this technology can be used and what steps the homeland security enterprise should take to prepare." The duration of the audio is 19 minutes and 39 seconds.
Naval Postgraduate School (U.S.). Center for Homeland Defense and Security
Karimi, Bijan P.
2020-11-18
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