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CTC Perspectives: Militant Rivalries Extend to Female Recruitment in Pakistan
"In an attempt to keep apace with the latest trends in jihadi recruitment, the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) released a 45-page, English-language magazine Sunnat-e-Khaula in August 2017, named after a historical Muslim female fighter. Although this is not the first time that TTP has released a glossy propaganda publication in English, making a direct appeal to educated Pakistani women is a novel endeavor for the group. [...] Viewed in the context of an increasingly competitive environment, TTP's women's magazine signals the group's desire to employ women for both supportive and operational roles--extending the turf war between ISK (Islamic State of Khurasan), TTP, and potentially other local militant actors to the female sphere. Left unchecked, operational support of Pakistani women to facilitate extremist groups may generate dangerous consequences for militancy and terrorism in the region. A change in recruitment patterns is an early warning of evolving tactics--and one that requires corresponding changes in counterterrorism efforts."
Combating Terrorism Center (U.S.)
Jadoon, Amira; Mahmood, Sara
2017-09-14
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CTC Perspectives: An Idea or a Threat? Islamic State Jammu & Kashmir
"In early February 2016, the Islamic State announced its intention to expand into Kashmir as part of its broader Khorasan branch. One of the causes of concern associated with the spread of the Islamic State affiliate in Jammu and Kashmir (ISJK) is the existing instability within the region due to the controversial Line of Control (LoC) that divides the region into Indian and Pakistani controlled areas. The highly militarized Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) region constitutes a long-running territorial dispute between India and Pakistan, which has triggered at least three wars. The region also hosts three prominent militant groups--the Hizb-ul-Mujahideen (HM), Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), and Jaish-e-Mohammad (JeM)--which historically have been linked to elements of the Pakistani state and largely favor Pakistan. If successful, an Islamic State-inspired movement may have severe negative consequences in the already volatile environment of Jammu and Kashmir, such as increased rivalry amongst militant groups and sectarian violence. This would not only exacerbate Pakistan's current instability but also antagonize relations between the two nuclear-armed countries. [...] This article takes a closer look at the nature of ISJK's message to its target audience, disseminated largely via its Telegram channel, and situates it within the specific context of J&K. "
Combating Terrorism Center (U.S.)
Jadoon, Amira
2018-02-09
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Islamic State Khorasan's Network and Organizational Capacity in Afghanistan and Pakistan
"When the Islamic State officially declared the formation of its province in Afghanistan and Pakistan (AfPak)--Wilayat Khorasan, or Islamic State Khorasan (ISK)--in January 2015, many global and regional policymakers dismissed the threat of an Islamic State affiliate in the AfPak theater. In the years following its formation, ISK unleashed some of the most devastating attacks in the AfPak region, persisting in the face of U.S. airstrikes, Pakistani military operations, and clashes with the Afghan Taliban. Although the potential threat of ISK is acknowledged today, questions about the nature of the nascent group and its efficacy, resilience, and trajectory remain unanswered. What are the broader contours of ISK's lethality, targets, and tactics in Afghanistan and Pakistan? How do ISK's operational trends compare and contrast across the two countries? How have ISK's alliances contributed to its overall capacity and resilience? More broadly, what explains ISK's demonstrated ability to survive and thrive in the AfPak region, and what do its operational trends and alliances collectively tell us about its future trajectory?"
Combating Terrorism Center (U.S.)
Jadoon, Amira
2018-12
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Broken, but Not Defeated: An Examination of State-Led Operations Against Islamic State Khorasan in Afghanistan and Pakistan (2015-2018)
From the Executive Summary: "Afghanistan and Pakistan became the home base for one of the Islamic State's most dangerous and lethal affiliates--the Islamic State Khorasan (ISK)--approximately five years ago. In the half-decade since ISK's official formation in January 2015, the group has been consistently subjected to a multitude of state-led operations in both Afghanistan and Pakistan. Despite recent indications that ISK may not possess the same level of potency as it did in years prior to 2019, [...] it may be too early to interpret these developments as indicative of the group's complete operational collapse. However, as this report demonstrates, intense targeting of ISK in both Afghanistan and Pakistan has resulted in substantial losses for the group over the past four years, which is likely to reshape its strategic and operational behavior in the future. [...] Despite prevalent operations against ISK, the lack of a systematic review of targeting tactics against the group means that specific outcomes of these operations and their efficacy remain unclear. A few questions remain unanswered: 'what is the nature and level of manpower losses incurred by ISK in various campaigns against the group? How have operations altered the level of the ISK threat, and what do they reveal about ISK's militant base? How have these operations affected ISK's operational capacity?' This report draws on open-source materials to provide an overview of the diversity and magnitude of state-led efforts against ISK in Afghanistan and Pakistan."
Combating Terrorism Center (U.S.)
Jadoon, Amira; Mines, Andrew
2020-03
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Rising in the East: A Regional Overview of the Islamic State's Operations in Southeast Asia
From the Executive Summary: "Starting in mid-2014 with Isnilon Hapilon of the Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) in the Philippines, a series of Southeast Asian militants pledged allegiance to the Islamic State. Despite this early support, it was only in 2016 that the Islamic State publicly acknowledged some of these oaths of allegiance and declared Hapilon of ASG to be the regional emir. As the Islamic State began to lose territory in 2016 and 2017, it encouraged Southeast Asian supporters to travel to the Philippines to wage jihad rather than make hijrah (migrate) to the Middle East. Since 2016, a wave of lethal attacks, including a number of attempted and successful suicide attacks, claimed by the Islamic State across the region have led to heightened concerns about the group's mounting influence within Southeast Asian countries. In addition to containing local affiliates aligned with the Islamic State, regional authorities are concerned about the interconnectedness of Islamic State-linked activity across Southeast Asian countries and the experience provided by returning fighters from Iraq and Syria. The case of Bahrun Naim illustrates the multifaceted problem. Naim--who had joined the Islamic State's Southeast Asia fighting unit Katibah Nusantara in Syria in 2014 and was arrested by Indonesia's counterterrorism force--is believed to have orchestrated connections across disparate Islamic State-linked factions in Malaysia, Indonesia, and the Philippines."
Combating Terrorism Center (U.S.)
Jadoon, Amira; Jahanbani, Nakissa; Willis, Charmaine N.
2020-07
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