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Governance, Identity, and Counterinsurgency: Evidence from Ramadi and Tal Afar
"The premise of most Western thinking on counterinsurgency is that success depends on establishing a perception of legitimacy among local populations. The path to legitimacy is often seen as the improvement of governance in the form of effective and efficient administration of government and public services. However, good governance is not the only possible basis for claims to legitimacy. This monograph considers whether, in insurgencies where ethno-religious identities are politically salient, claims to legitimacy may rest more on the identity of who governs, rather than on how those people govern. Building on a synthesis of scholarship and policy regarding insurgencies and counterinsurgencies, the politics of ethnic identity, governance, and legitimacy, the author presents an analytic framework for examining these issues and then applies that framework to two detailed local case studies of American counterinsurgency operations in Iraq: Ramadi from 2004-05; and Tal Afar from 2005- 06. These case studies are based on primary research, including dozens of interviews with participants and eyewitnesses."
Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute
Fitzsimmons, Michael (Michael Francis)
2013-03
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Strategic Insights: Challenges in Using Scenario Planning for Defense Strategy
"Lawrence Freedman and Colin Gray are two of the most famous contemporary scholars of military strategy. Within the past few years, each published a book addressing different aspects of the same practical problem of strategy: defense planning. Considered to be strategy's mundane cousin, defense planning revolves around how a nation designs its military according to its views of the future. Freedman's and Gray's verdicts on the subject are very similar and simply put: we are usually wrong when we predict the future of war. This judgment is not new; indeed, it conforms with the observations of countless defense policymakers and analysts on the challenges of strategic planning in national security. However, those looking to the works of these preeminent strategists for practical prescriptions on confronting uncertainty in planning are liable to be underwhelmed."
Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute
Fitzsimmons, Michael (Michael Francis)
2018-01-30
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Scenario Planning and Strategy in the Pentagon
"Students and practitioners of national security policy have long understood that uncertainty about the future is a central challenge of strategy. Scenario planning should be one of the Department of Defense's (DoD) most important tools for developing strategy under uncertainty. Since 2002, the DoD has employed a formalized, joint scenario planning process to support strategy and force development, but that process has proven less influential than intended for strategic decision-making. Explaining the challenges facing scenario planning and analysis in the Pentagon is the main purpose of this monograph."
Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute
Fitzsimmons, Michael (Michael Francis)
2019-01
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