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Island Voices and Covid-19: Vulnerability and Resilience, Views from 'The Strategist'
From the Introduction: "This Strategic Insights report is being published as part of an ASPI [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] project that focuses on the vulnerabilities of Indo-Pacific island states in the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] era. It presents a series of views on ways that insiders and external observers have viewed the vulnerabilities and resilience of island countries in the Pacific and Indian Oceans in dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic. All of these contributions have appeared as posts on 'The Strategist' [hyperlink]. They don't try to offer a sequential account of events or perceptions but represent a collection of responses to the crisis. The authors were not asked to address a single issue but, rather, were encouraged to focus on issues of relevance to them. The result is a mosaic rather than a portrait of nearly a year of living with the tensions posed by the pandemic. Two key themes do tend to dominate this mosaic. One concerns the way vulnerabilities are expressed as challenges. The second identifies the opportunities that resilience can create. Many small island states in the Pacific and Indian Oceans lack the resilience in medical infrastructure--physical and human--to absorb the onslaught of the pandemic if it had hit them with the ferocity of the European or American experience. While this has not occurred (and may not, if an effective vaccine reaches them soon), their economic resilience has been put under serious pressure by the policies adopted to manage the pandemic's continuing public health threat."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Brewster, David; Herr, Richard
2021-04-13?
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COVID-19 Attracts Patriotic Troll Campaigns in Support of China's Geopolitical Interests
From the Document: "Over the past several weeks, a loosely coordinated pro-China trolling campaign on Twitter has: [1] Harassed Western media outlets [2] Impersonated Taiwanese users in an effort to undermine Taiwan's position with the World Health Organisation (WHO) [3] Spread false information about the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] outbreak [4] Joined in pre-existing inauthentic social media campaigns. At this stage, there's no clear evidence of state direction behind this trolling campaign. However, the trolling campaign is having a significant political impact, including being publicly identified by Taiwan's Investigation Bureau as interfering in the already complex relationship between Taiwan and the WHO."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise; Zhang, Albert
2020-04?
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ID2020, Bill Gates and the Mark of the Beast: How COVID-19 Catalyses Existing Online Conspiracy Movements
From the Document: "Against the backdrop of the global Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic, billionaire philanthropist Bill Gates has become the subject of a diverse and rapidly expanding universe of conspiracy theories. As an example, a recent poll found that 44% of Republicans and 19% of Democrats in the US now believe that Gates is linked to a plot to use vaccinations as a pretext to implant microchips into people. And it's not just America: 13% of Australians believe that Bill Gates played a role in the creation and spread of the coronavirus, and among young Australians it's 20%. Protests around the world, from Germany to Melbourne, have included anti-Gates chants and slogans."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise; Zhang, Albert
2020-06-25
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ASPI Presents: Covid-19 and Radicalisation [video]
From the Video Description: "ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] Dr John Coyne, Head of Strategic Policing and Law Enforcement and Head of the North and Australia's Security, and Elise Thomas, researcher with ASPI's International Cyber Policy Centre, speak with Peta Lowe, Principal Consultant with Phronesis Consulting and Training Australia, about the potential impact of Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] on far right wing extremism, recruitment and radicalisation." The duration of this video is 33 minutes and 47 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Coyne, John; Thomas, Elise; Lowe, Peta
2020-04-13
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation: Automating Influence on Covid-19
From the Introduction: "ASPI ICPC [Australian Strategic Policy Institute International Cyber Policy Centre] has investigated a campaign of cross-platform inauthentic activity, conducted by Chinese-speaking actors and broadly in alignment with the political goal of the People's Republic of China (PRC) to denigrate the standing of the US. This appears to be targeted primarily at Western and US-based audiences by artificially boosting legitimate media and social media content in order to amplify divisive or negative narratives about the US. This has included highlighting racial tensions, amplifying criticisms of the US's handling of the coronavirus crisis, and political and personal scandals linked to President Donald Trump. However, there's no clear indication of a partisan lean in this campaign. President Trump appears to be criticised in his capacity as a leader of the US rather than as a presidential candidate. [...] This activity is valuable as a case study because it highlights the ways in which social media platforms provide a vector for small-scale actors to engage in covert political influence campaigns targeting citizens and voters in other nations in ways that can complement state-driven propaganda. The investigation offers insights into behavioural patterns that can reveal coordinated inauthentic activity designed to drive influence, even when it is disguised through selective sharing of authentic content by accounts with profiles that offer a veneer of legitimacy."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise; Zhang, Albert; Wallis, Jake
2020-08
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation: Viral Videos: Covid-19, China and Inauthentic Influence on Facebook
From the Introduction: "For the latest report in our series on Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] disinformation, we've investigated ongoing inauthentic activity on Facebook and, to a lesser extent, YouTube. This activity uses both English- and Chinese -language content to present narratives that support the political objectives of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). These narratives span a range of topics, including assertions of corruption and incompetence in the Trump administration, the US Government's decision to ban TikTok, the George Floyd and Black Lives Matter protests, and the ongoing tensions in the US-China relationship. A major theme, and the focus of this report, is criticism of how the US broadly, and the Trump administration in particular, are handling the Covid-19 crisis on both the domestic and the global levels."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise; Zhang, Albert; Wallis, Jake
2020-09
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation: Pro-Russian Vaccine Politics Drives New Disinformation Narratives
From the Introduction: "On 17 July, a press release was posted to the websites of the Luhansk People's Republic, the pro-Russian self-declared state in Luhansk, Eastern Ukraine. The press release related to a supposed US Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] vaccine trial that had been conducted on Ukrainian volunteers, including soldiers, in Kharkiv (which is controlled by the Ukrainian Government). According to the press release, of the 15 patients who received the trial vaccine, five were killed, including four Ukrainian soldiers. The press release was published the day after Russia announced plans to mass-produce its own vaccine in a matter of weeks. The Ukrainian vaccine trial never happened. However, this disinformation narrative--which has clear political, anti-American and anti-Ukrainian Government undertones--has achieved widespread dissemination in multiple languages and across multiple communities. [...] The success of this completely fictional narrative reflects a broader shift across the disinformation space. As the world's focus moves from the initial response to the coronavirus crisis towards the race to a vaccine, with all of the complex geopolitical interests that entails, political disinformation is also moving on from the origins of the virus to the vaccine race. This report uses the US-Ukrainian vaccine narrative as a case study to examine how political disinformation about Covid-19 vaccines is being laundered into the international information ecosystem."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise; Zhang, Albert; Currey, Emilia
2020-08
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation: Twisting the Truth: Ongoing Inauthentic Activity Promoting Falun Gong, the 'Epoch Times' and Truth Media Targets Australians on Facebook
From the Introduction: "This short investigation examines two suspicious Facebook pages that promote content supportive of Falun Gong and its associated media entities, including the 'Epoch Times' and New Tang Dynasty (NTD) media, yet don't declare any direct affiliation. Both pages display behaviours reminiscent of two networks previously removed from the platform, which Facebook attributed as linked to Truth Media and Epoch Media Group. One of the pages is run primarily by Australian-based moderators, while the other is run from Vietnam. These pages are using different strategies, including paid advertisements, systematically sharing content into Australian Facebook groups (including fringe and conspiracy groups), and attempting to drive traffic to 'Epoch Times' and Falun Gong-affiliated sites. Despite the different approaches, however, the pages are broadly aligned in their messaging and seek to influence Australians on a range of issues, including Australia's relationship with China, opinions of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC), and the leadership of the Victorian state government."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Thomas, Elise
2020-09
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WPS and Regional Security, Analysing Disinformation Online and Healthcare Cyber Security [podcast]
From the Description: "In this episode of Policy, Guns and Money ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] Head of the International Program, Lisa Sharland speaks to experienced human rights and women's rights advocate, Louise Allen about her recent ASPI publication 'Australia's implementation of women, peace and security: Promoting regional security'. [...] Renee DiResta, Technical Research Manager at Stanford Internet Observatory, talks with ICPC's [International Cyber Policy Centre] Elise Thomas about misinformation and malign narratives across social networks, focusing on the trends the world is witnessing throughout the COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] pandemic. Finally, we hear from ICPC's Tom Uren and Jocelinn Kang who discuss how cyber criminals are exploiting COVID-19 to carry out cyber-attacks on hospitals." The duration of this podcast is 36 minutes and 58 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020?
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Afghanistan Peace Efforts, Reflecting on Russia and Covid-19 Impact on Space [audio]
From the Webpage: "In this episode, ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] Genevieve Feely speaks to Dr Sue Harris-Rimmer, Gender Policy Expert and Associate Professor at Griffith University Law School, about the Afghanistan peace process and why it's so important that women are represented and their rights protected in any agreement that is made Michael Shoebridge talks to Emeritus Professor Paul Dibb about the implications of Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] for Russia, Vladimir Putin and Russia's relationship with China. Finally, Charlie Lyons Jones speaks to Dr Malcolm Davis about how Covid-19 is impacting the space industry, how space is the new arena for strategic competition and how space has enabled effective connectivity to deal with a workforce working remotely."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-04-11?
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COVID-19 in Indonesia and the Pacific: Tips on Surviving Isolation [audio]
From the Webpage: "In this episode of Policy, Guns and Money, Lisa Sharland, head of ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] International Program speaks to Dr Anna Powles, senior lecturer in security studies at Massey University for an update on the impact of Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] on the Pacific. Kelly Smith catches up with Colonel Ned Holt, ASPI's US Army War College Fellow to get some tips on looking after yourself while in isolation in difficult circumstances. Dr Huong Le Thu, Senior Analyst at ASPI speaks with Dr Donald Greenlees of Melbourne Universities Asialink on the impact Covid-19 is having in Indonesia."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-04-17?
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Islamic Law, Covid-19 and Middle Eastern Affairs [audio]
From the Website: "We bring you three great conversations in this episode of Policy, Guns and Money. First, Brendan Nicholson speaks with Dr Ahmed Al-Dawoody, Legal Adviser for Islamic law and jurisprudence at the ICRC [International Committee of the Red Cross] (0:35). We then move on to a discussion of censorship and state media relating to Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019], the Corona virus between Fergus Ryan and Elise Thomas of the ASPI [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] International Cyber Policy Centre (11:55). We close with ASPI Executive Director Peter Jennings in discussion with Mr Ehud Yaari, an Israel-based international fellow of The Washington Institute and guest of the Australian/Israel & Jewish Affairs Council on recent Middle East events (23:25)." The duration of this audio is 41 minutes and 44 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-03
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COVID-19 the Corona Virus [audio]
From the Website: "In this episode of Policy, Guns & Money we look at COVID-19, the Corona Virus. We speak with three prominent experts to help understand the current situation and consider where we are heading. You'll hear from Professor Raina MacIntyre, Professor of Global Biosecurity at the University of New South Wales. Professor MacIntyre heads the Biosecurity Program at the Kirby Institute, which conducts research in epidemiology, vaccinology, bioterrorism prevention, mathematical modelling, genetic epidemiology, public health and clinical trials in infectious diseases. We also speak with Dr Robert Glasser, Visiting Fellow at ASPI [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] and former head of the UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNISDR). Finally, we speak with Dr Anna Powles, Senior Lecturer in Security Studies at Massey University on the impact of the virus on the South Pacific." The duration of this audio is 40 minutes and 59 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-04
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UN and COVID-19, Pacific ICT Development and Changing Roles for the ADF [podcast]
From the Description: "In this episode; ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] Lisa Sharland talks to Richard Gowan, International Crisis Group's UN Director, to discuss the International Crisis Group's recent report: 'Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] and Conflict: Seven Trends to Watch'. [...] Earlier this year Bart Hogeveen of ASPI's ICPC [International Cyber Policy Centre] released the report: 'ICT [Information and communication technologies] for development in the Pacific Islands'. Bart speaks with Louisa Bochner about the report and his work assessing e-governance facilities in the Pacific. [...] Finally, ICPC's Tom Uren and ASPI's Director of Defence, Strategy & National Security Michael Shoebridge discuss how Australia's Defence department has adapted to changing roles and whether the organisation's structure and processes are fit for purpose or a redesign is needed." The duration of this podcast is 41 minutes and 5 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020?
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Returning to Work During the Pandemic: Testing, Surveillance, Apps and Data as Our near Term Future
From the Document: "The early signs are that the national cabinet's social distancing measures, and the Australian people's compliance with them, are slowing the rate of growth of Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] infections. Plenty of voices are already speculating about various restrictions being lifted, if not in quite as uninformed a way as President Trump. It's tempting to feel that we've succeeded so we can all relax now, but I don't think anyone looking at the world, listening to those with real knowledge and examining the evidence thinks that's possible. As our premiers, our Chief Medical Officer, international experts and Australia's own Norman Swan tell us, we're nowhere near ending this pandemic in Australia. We won't be unless one of two things happens: we get a vaccine that's effective and widely available faster than even the best case accelerated development says is possible (still some 12-18 months away), or we suppress Covid-19 inside Australia's borders and keep those borders sealed biologically against the virus."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Shoebridge, Michael
2020-04
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Invisible Enemies: Infectious Disease and National Security in Australia
"Over the last 30 years, approximately 40 newly emerged infections have been identified in the world, including AIDS [Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome], Legionnaires Disease, Mad Cow Disease, SARS [Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome] and Bird Flu. The paper examines the threat of emerging pandemics and Australia's need to reassess its preparedness for a major outbreak of infectious disease. Authored by Professorial Fellow in Medical Geography and Director of the Health Studies Program at Macquarie University, Peter Curson, the Insight argues that Australia can no longer take refuge in the barriers of time and distance as an effective defence against world wide pandemics."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Curson, P. H. (Peter H.)
2005-05-12
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'Terrorism is Terrorism' The Christchurch Terror Attack from an Israeli CT Perspective
From the Introduction: "On Friday 15 March 2019, in Christchurch, New Zealand, 50 people were murdered and dozens more injured in one of the most severe terror attacks in the Southern Hemisphere in the 21st century. Most of the victims were Muslim immigrants and refugees who came to New Zealand from Pakistan, Bangladesh, Kuwait, Indonesia, Turkey, Somalia or India. Unlike many of the terror attacks perpetrated globally in the past few decades, the attacker was not an Islamist jihadist terrorist but rather a Christian Australian who was motivated by an extreme right-wing racist ideology. This report examines the different phases of the attack, its similarities to and differences from Islamic jihadist terror attacks, and the lessons to be learned for preventing, thwarting and managing such attacks, based on Israeli counterterrorism (CT) experience."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Ganor, Boaz
2020-05
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After Covid-19: Australia and the World Rebuild (Volume 1)
From the Introduction: "In the years leading up to the global Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] crisis, Australia, like many countries, failed to heed health specialists' warnings on the likelihood and consequences of a global pandemic. Critical pandemic readiness was an insurance policy deemed too expensive by most nations. That decision left our nation's pandemic policies overexposed to short-sighted efficiency budget cuts. [...] This pandemic has created a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for our nation to critically review and reset many of our policy assumptions. This Strategy report offers a policy-focused analysis of the world we'll face once the pandemic has passed. It analyses 26 key topics, countries and themes, ranging from Australia's domestic situation through to the global balance of power, climate and technology issues. In preparing each chapter, we asked our authors to consider four questions: [1] What impact did Covid-19 have on their research topic? [2] What will recovery mean? [3] Will there be differences in future? [4] What policy prescriptions would you recommend for the Australian Government?"
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Coyne, John; Jennings, Peter, 1963-
2020-05
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Politics and Covid-19 in Timor-Leste, Protests in Hong Kong and USA, Police Reform in the USA [audio]
From the Audio Description: "In this episode of Policy, Guns & Money, ASPI [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] researcher Genevieve Feely speaks to Robert Baird, English Editor at Tatoli News, about recent political developments in Timor-Leste, including the challenge of a failed state budget, and the country's Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] response. Senior Analyst Kelsey Munro speaks to the Director of ASPI's Defence, Strategy and National Security Program, Michael Shoebridge about the protests in Hong Kong and the United States, the parallels and differences between the two protests and what this means in the context of the global contest between authoritarianism and democracy. And Leanne Close, head of ASPI's Counter-terrorism Program, speaks to Steven Casstevens, President of the International Association of the Chiefs of Police about police reform in the United States in light of the current protests and how the systemic issues can be addressed to rebuild trust and support between police and their communities." The duration of this audio is 40 minutes and 17 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-06-11
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After COVID-19: Australia, the Region and Multilateralism (Volume 2)
From the Introduction: "The global Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] crisis continues to dominate the international strategic environment, fuelling uncertainty about the future. The only thing that's certain is that this pandemic will be with us for some time yet, meaning that Australia, like other nations, needs to be prepared to manage its response to the pandemic while simultaneously focusing on the future. Since we approached the contributing authors to write for this second volume in May, there's been a second wave in Victoria, New Zealand has gone back into a temporary lockdown in parts of the country, and the US has experienced a resurgence in different states and a death toll now over 191,000 as it approaches a presidential election. Those developments remind us that the pandemic will continue to be with us for months, if not years, until a vaccine is discovered and globally administered. Covid-19 and the responses to it will also continue to have a disproportionate impact on different segments of the population--such as women, youth, and racial and ethnic minorities--well beyond the crisis phase. This volume of 'After Covid-19' has built on volume 1 and continued to take a longer term view by looking at some policy settings and identifying likely challenges and opportunities, particularly as they relate to Australia's role in the region and the multilateral system."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Shoebridge, Michael; Sharland, Lisa
2020-09
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation: Covid-19 and the Reach of Pro-Kremlin Messaging
From the Introduction: "This research investigation examines Russia's efforts to manipulate the information environment during the coronavirus crisis. It leverages data from the European External Action Service's East StratCom [Strategic Communications] Task Force, which, through its EUvsDisinfo [EU vs. Disinformation] project, tracks pro-Kremlin messages spreading in the EU and Eastern Partnership countries. The taskforce monitors media in those countries to identify and expose Russian disinformation, maintaining a regularly updated database of samples. [...] Using this open-source repository of pro-Kremlin disinformation in combination with OSINT [open-source intelligence] investigative techniques that track links between online entities, we analyse the narratives being seeded about coronavirus and map the social media accounts spreading those messages."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
Serrato, Raymond; Wallis, Jacob
2020-10
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Conflicts and COVID-19: US Election Interference and More Cyber Security Strategy [audio]
From the Description: "In this episode of Policy, Guns & Money, Lisa Sharland speaks to Rob Malley, President and CEO [Chief Operating Officer] of International Crisis Group, about conflicts during Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] and prospects for peace in Afghanistan. They also discuss Crisis Group's annual '10 Conflicts to Watch', including what's changed since the last edition, and what might feature in the next edition later this year. The Strategist's Brendan Nicholson and Anastasia Kapetas discuss the recently released US Senate Intelligence Committee Report on Russian Interference in the 2016 Election and foreign interference in the US. (Hint - there was plenty) Finally, Tom Uren and John Coyne continue the conversation on Australia's Cyber Security Strategy 2020, where it falls short, and the challenges for policing cyber criminals."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-08-20
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US-China Relationship, and Atrocities & Climate Impacts in the Time of Covid-19 [audio]
From the Audio Description: "In this episode of Policy, Guns and Money Kelsey Munro, ASPI [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] Senior Analyst, speaks to Charles Edel, Senior Fellow at the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney, about the current tensions between Australia and China and the US-China relationship in the Covid [coronavirus disease] era. Then, ASPI Researcher Geneveieve Feely speaks to Nikki Marczak from the University of Queensland's Asia Pacific Centre for The Responsibility to Protect about the impact of Covid-19 in conflict-affected areas and the risk of atrocity crimes. Finally, research interns Alexandra Pascoe, Albert Zhang and Hal Crichton-Standish talk about climate change and Covid-19 and how the crisis provides an opportunity for climate action going forward." The duration of this audio is 39 minutes and 33 seconds.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
2020-05-14
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Covid-19 Disinformation and Social Media Manipulation Trends
From the Document: "A range of actors are manipulating the information environment to exploit the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] crisis for strategic gain. ASPI's [Australian Strategic Policy Institute] International Cyber Policy Centre is tracking many of these state and non-state actors online and will occasionally publish investigative data-driven reporting that will focus on the use of disinformation, propaganda, extremist narratives and conspiracy theories. The bulk of ASPI's data analysis uses our in-house 'Influence' Tracker tool--a machine learning and data analytics capability that draws out insights from multi-language social media datasets. This report includes three case studies that feature China, Taiwan, Russia and Africa."
Australian Strategic Policy Institute. International Cyber Policy Centre
2020-04
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