Stockpile Stewardship in an Era of Renewed Strategic Competition   [open pdf - 3MB]

From the Introduction: "Stockpile stewardship was born in a particular moment in the security environment-- in that optimistic period after the end of the Cold War marked by rising confidence that major power confrontation would turn to major power concert in support of a new world order. [...] Alas, this moment has now passed. A new world order has not emerged; instead, the U.S.-led orders in Europe and Asia are hotly contested by Russia and China. Cooperation among the major powers has waned, while competition and rivalry have intensified. What does this imply for the ambition to reduce nuclear dangers through the exercise of strategic restraint? How, if at all, should the United States modify its approach to maintaining a nuclear deterrent in light of the new, more competitive relationships with Russia and China? These questions came into sharper focus with revelations in 2018 about novel Russian nuclear systems and in 2021 about China's covert program to deploy large numbers of new weapons. In reaction, CGSR [Center for Global Security Research] launched a project in 2021 designed to address a few key questions: [1] How have the United States, Russia, and China approached the maintenance of their nuclear deterrents in a changing security environment? [2] Where do their approaches align and differ? [3] Do the asymmetries matter? [4] How competitive is the U.S. approach?"

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Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory: https://cgsr.llnl.gov/
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