Risk Assessment of Importation and Local Transmission of COVID-19 in South Korea: Statistical Modeling Approach [open pdf - 915KB]
From the Abstract: "Despite recent achievements in vaccines, antiviral drugs, and medical infrastructure, the emergence of COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] has posed a serious threat to humans worldwide. Most countries are well connected on a global scale, making it nearly impossible to implement perfect and prompt mitigation strategies for infectious disease outbreaks. In particular, due to the explosive growth of international travel, the complex network of human mobility enabled the rapid spread of COVID-19 globally. [...] South Korea was one of the earliest countries to be affected by COVID-19. In the absence of vaccines and treatments, South Korea has implemented and maintained stringent interventions, such as large-scale epidemiological investigations, rapid diagnosis, social distancing, and prompt clinical classification of severely ill patients with appropriate medical measures. In particular, South Korea has implemented effective airport screenings and quarantine measures. In this study, we aimed to assess the country-specific importation risk of COVID-19 and investigate its impact on the local transmission of COVID-19."
2021 Hyojung Lee, Yeahwon Kim, Eunsu Kim, Sunmi Lee. Posted here with permission. Document is under a Creative Commons license and requires proper attribution and noncommercial use to be shared: [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/]
Public Health and Surveillance: https://publichealth.jmir.org/
JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (2021), v.7 iss.6