Assessing the Threat: First Annual Report to the President and Congress of the Advisory Panel to Assess Domestic Response Capabilities for Terrorism Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction   [open pdf - 919KB]

This report delves into a broad range of issues, chronicles actual terrorist attacks, considers potential terrorist incidents, and attempts to answer the fundamental questions of "Who?," "What?," and "Why?;" and accordingly begins to consider what must be done to prepare for the "When." Chapter Two of the report chronicles chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) weapon schemes, attempts, and actual attacks by terrorists and the known or assumed motives or intentions behind them, with a thorough analysis of such incidents, in an attempt to provide insight into the current discussion of potential threats and possible consequences. Chapter Three of the report focuses on an analysis of the circumstances and facts surrounding the 1995 attack in the Tokyo subway system by Aum Shinrikyo. Chapter Four presents some preliminary conclusions and hypotheses reached by the Panel, based on a thorough analysis and discussion of the threat and other information presented to the Panel, and the relevance of that analysis and information to the broader issues of preparedness, planning, training, and coordination at the Federal, state and local levels. The report concludes with an overview of the activities of the Panel being undertaken in the current fiscal year.

1999 RAND Corporation
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