From the Executive Summary: "Hezbollah wishes to both maintain and change the status quo vis-à-vis Israel, a circle it is attempting to square by threatening retaliation while simultaneously doing what it can to avoid escalation. This inherent contradiction has left Hezbollah with few viable options, leading to a series of tactical failures and an increased need to deliver some kind of success, however cosmetic. The result is a greater likelihood of inadvertent escalation along Israel's northern border."
BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,749; Begin-Sadat Center Perspectives Paper No. 1,749
Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies
Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies: https://besacenter.org/