ABSTRACT

Modeling the Onset of Symptoms of COVID-19   [open pdf - 12MB]

From the Document: "COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] is a pandemic viral disease with catastrophic global impact. This disease is more contagious than influenza such that cluster outbreaks occur frequently. If patients with symptoms quickly underwent testing and contact tracing, these outbreaks could be contained. Unfortunately, COVID-19 patients have symptoms similar to other common illnesses. Here, we hypothesize the order of symptom occurrence could help patients and medical professionals more quickly distinguish COVID-19 from other respiratory diseases, yet such essential information is largely unavailable. [...] Our model predicts that influenza initiates with cough, whereas COVID-19 like other coronavirus-related diseases initiates with fever. However, COVID-19 differs from SARS [severe acute respiratory syndrome] and MERS [Middle East respiratory syndrome] in the order of gastrointestinal symptoms. Our results support the notion that fever should be used to screen for entry into facilities as regions begin to reopen after the outbreak of Spring 2020. Additionally, our findings suggest that good clinical practice should involve recording the order of symptom occurrence in COVID-19 and other diseases."

Author:
Publisher:
Date:
2020-08-13
Series:
Copyright:
2020 Larsen, Martin, Martin, Kuhn and Hicks. For Creative Commons: [Year and Publisher]. Posted here with permission. Document is under a Creative Commons license and requires proper attribution and noncommercial use to be shared: [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/].
Retrieved From:
https://www.frontiersin.org/
Format:
pdf
Media Type:
application/pdf
Source:
Frontiers in Public Health (August 2020), v.8 no.473
URL:
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