From the Document: "While it's become commonplace to say that the Covid-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] crisis will lead to a 'new normal' in international affairs, it's not at all clear what that means or indeed what 'normal' has been in recent years. Some commentators are seeing the crisis as a 'game-changer,' but that is far from certain--the tendency once the crisis has past may well be to simply lapse back into old habits and patterns. In some areas, patterns and attitudes that are already evident will be accentuated. To take one example, those who have been suspicious of China will have even more reason to be suspicious, while those who have been excusing China and overlooking its negatives will have even more excuses to offer. [...] It's hard to see the US-China relationship going any way but backwards. This is usually the case in an American election year. This year, with China's failings more evident and with the pandemic hitting the US so badly, the political class will focus even more on China and in particular the administration will want to blame China."
PacNet No. 29
Pacific Forum: https://pacforum.org/