Same Game, No Winners: COVID-19, U.S.-China Rivalry, and Southeast Asian Geopolitics [open pdf - 0B]
From the Document: "The COVID-19 [coronavirus disease 2019] outbreak has spawned a plethora of commentaries forecasting the geopolitical consequences of the pandemic. For some observers the virus has caused a decisive shift in the balance of influence, with China emerging as the paramount power (especially in the Indo-Pacific) and America teetering on the brink of losing its status as global hegemon. Other pundits have offered less paradigm-shifting assessments: that COVID-19 is unlikely to upend the existing international order but may catalyze existing global trends. Four months into what is very likely to be a long and wrenching crisis it is, of course, very difficult to make predictions. However, we believe that at least in Southeast Asia, what we are witnessing thus far is less a rupture event and more an amplification of the current geopolitical dynamics. COVID-19 has led to a sharp deterioration in U.S.-China relations and this has reinforced negative views of both countries in Southeast Asia and exacerbated regional concerns about escalating superpower rivalry."
Asia Pacific Bulletin No. 507
East-West Center: https://www.eastwestcenter.org/