Healthcare Surge Capacity Planning--Modeling as a Decision-Making Tool for Public Health Officials [open pdf - 185KB]
From the Overview: "Modeling allows health officials and policymakers to make decisions based on future projections. States are using an array of COVID-19 [coronavirus disease] modeling tools to inform community mitigation and hospital response strategies; however, differences in the inputs, assumptions, and data systems may result in different forecasts. This brief will help states understand how projections are calculated across several models, each of which have been cited by the media and used or developed by state/territorial health officials and ASTHO [Association of State and Territorial Health Officials] alumni. Although there are at least a dozen models in use across the nation, the four cited in this brief represent a sample that is designed to forecast hospital capacity at the regional or state level."
Association of State and Territorial Health Officials. Posted here with permission. Documents are for personal use only and not for commercial profit.
Association of State and Territorial Health Officials: https://www.astho.org/