From the Summary: "The world faces a severe and acute public health emergency due to the ongoing COVID-19 [coronavirus disease] global pandemic. How individual countries respond in the coming weeks will be critical in influencing the trajectory of national epidemics. Here we combine data on age-specific contact patterns and COVID-19 severity to project the health impact of the pandemic in 202 countries. We compare predicted mortality impacts in the absence of interventions or spontaneous social distancing with what might be achieved with policies aimed at mitigating or suppressing transmission. Our estimates of mortality and healthcare demand are based on data from China and high-income countries; differences in underlying health conditions and healthcare system capacity will likely result in different patterns in low income settings."
Imperial College London
Imperial College London COVID-19 Reports: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/