From the Overview: "The COVID-19 pandemic unquestionably presents an era-defining challenge to public health and the global economy. Its political consequences, both short- and long-term, are less well understood. [...] These are universal problems, but as an organisation focusing on early warning and conflict prevention, Crisis Group is especially concerned with places where the global health challenge intersects with wars or political conditions - such as weak institutions, communal tensions, lack of trust in leaders and inter-state rivalries - that could give rise to new crises or exacerbate existing ones. We also hope to identify cases where the disease could, with effective diplomacy, stimulate reductions in tensions. This briefing, the first in a series of Crisis Group publications on COVID-19 and its effects on the conflict landscape, draws primarily from the input of our analysts across the globe, and identifies seven trends to watch during the pandemic."
Crisis Group Special Briefing No. 4
International Crisis Group. Posted here with permission. Documents are for personal use only and not for commercial profit.
International Crisis Group: https://www.crisisgroup.org/