From the Document: "Without social distancing, the rapidly escalating COVID-19 infection rate in the United States will result in significant morbidity and mortality for a large percentage of American citizens within months. As of March 18, 2020, there were more than 7,600 confirmed infections in the United States. The rate of increase in domestic cases (which varies somewhat from day-to-day depending upon how you measure) is now estimated to be in the range of 25 to 40 percent per day near to or eclipsing the alarming rates of case growth occurring in France and Italy, where governments have recently instituted strict social distancing actions to prevent further transmission. Our work suggests that without significant social distancing in the United States, the COVID-19 virus could infect millions within months."
2020 MITRE. Posted here with permission. Documents are for personal use only and not for commercial profit.
MITRE Corporation: https://www.mitre.org/