Non-Reputable Identity Management and Information Access Technologies for Improved Cyberspace Agility by 2035 [open pdf - 5MB]
From the thesis abstract: "The military's use of cyberspace as a warfighting domain in current operations is vulnerable to hackers and malware. Today's cyber defense strategy is based on trust and perimeter boundaries. This strategy provides the DoD with little room for strategic or tactical errors and exposes our information superiority advantages to unnecessary risk. Emerging threats are becoming more sophisticated and organized, eroding US asymmetric advantages in cyberspace. By 2035, the emerging threats posed by insiders, artificial intelligence, and nation states such as China will require game-changing innovations to defend cyberspace. The goal of this research paper is to propose an identity management and information access solution capable of mitigating emerging threats to military cyberspace operations in the year 2035. This solution requires overcoming eight major technical challenges. This paper answers the following question for DoD strategic planners: What technologies and programs should the DoD invest in today in order to mitigate emerging threats to freedom of action in cyberspace by 2035? It answers this question by surveying the existing operational environment and comparing it with three of the most probable emerging threats to cyber operations between now and 2035. Finally, the paper highlights a potential solution to these threats given current capabilities and uses backcasting to identify the required variables, policy changes, and technology challenges."
Defense Technical Information Center (DTIC): http://www.dtic.mil/dtic/