Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment   [open pdf - 5MB]

"Global sea level rise (SLR) has been a persistent trend for decades. It is expected to continue beyond the end of this century, which will cause significant impacts in the United States (US). Over eight million people live in areas at risk to coastal flooding, and many of the nation's assets related to military readiness, energy, commerce, and ecosystems are already located at or near the ocean. Past trends provide valuable evidence in preparing for future environmental change but, by themselves, are insufficient for assessing the risks associated with an uncertain future. For example, a number of recent studies project an increase in the rate and magnitude of global SLR. The US Congress recognizes the need to consider future trends in the Global Change Research Act (USGCRA), which calls for a National Climate Assessment (NCA) every four years. This report provides a synthesis of the scientific literature on global SLR at the request of a federal advisory committee charged with developing the next NCA. This report also provides a set of four global mean SLR scenarios to describe future conditions for the purpose of assessing potential vulnerabilities and impacts."

Report Number:
NOAA Technical Report OAR CPO-1; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Technical Report, Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Climate Program Office-1
Public Domain
Retrieved From:
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, Climate Program Office (CPO): http://www.cpo.noaa.gov/
Media Type:
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