National Cohesive Wildland Fire Strategy: Northeast Regional Risk Analysis Report: A Phase III Report by the Northeast Regional Strategy Committee [open pdf - 5MB]
"This Northeast Regional Risk Analysis has identified a set of feasible alternative approaches and options for addressing the Cohesive Strategy Goals in the Northeast U.S. For each of the investment options, the key risks, barriers, and opportunities are identified, and will be addressed in the Regional Action Plan to be developed. The options for addressing each goal […] represent alternative strategies that wildland fire management organizations, federal, state, and local governments, non-governmental organizations and local communities can adopt in any number and combination to best meet their objectives and address the risks they may face from potential wildfire impacts. This report, however, does not contain a quantitative cost trade-off analysis of the options as there was not time, capacity, or access to the needed information to be able to conduct such an analysis. Wildland fire is a complex issue that involves multiple interacting factors spanning the natural, human, and built environments. During Phase II, the National Science and Analysis Team (NSAT) examined various aspects of wildland fire and developed conceptual models specific to each component. The purpose of these models was to display the interactions and relationships among factors, such as the relationship between fuel treatments and the extent and intensity of wildfire. The NSAT also identified various data sets that might be used in Phase III to build analytical models consistent with the concepts articulated in Phase II. Building on these efforts, Phase III has involved an extensive effort to collect data necessary to quantify relationships and provide a rigorous examination of risk."
Forests and Rangelands: http://www.forestsandrangelands.gov/