Chinese Military Modernization and the Future of Taiwan   [open pdf - 2MB]

From the thesis abstract: "The potential military capabilities of the People's Republic of China (PRC) carry tremendous implications for the Republic of China (ROC) on Taiwan. The PRC's military modernization efforts are quickly eroding the ROC's qualitative military advantage. As the PRC modernizes, the possibility for a peaceful reunification diminishes. However, if it chooses an aggressive solution for reunification, the PRC recognizes that it may have to contend with the United States coming to Taiwan's aid. This thesis addresses the PRC's efforts to modernize its armed forces. Since 1985, Beijing has initiated a dedicated process of preparing the People's Liberation Army (PLA) to fight future wars. Through detailed analysis of U.S. military campaigns in the Middle East and the Balkans, the PRC has implemented new doctrine and equipment to help transform the PLA into a superior fighting force. As it modernizes, the PRC is developing strategies to force Taiwan's reunification with the mainland. Also, the PRC is developing asymmetric methods to defeat the possible presence of U.S. forces in the Taiwan Strait. The modernization of the PLA is dedicated towards achieving both of these goals."

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