From Bottle Rockets to Lightning Bolts: China's Missile Revolution and PLA Strategy against U.S. Military Intervention   [open pdf - 412KB]

"What China is poised to achieve is truly remarkable and unprecedented in modern warfare. Within just a few years, China would acquire the capability to attack --accurately, rapidly, and with nearly complete assurance--U.S. forces on the ground anywhere in the East Asian theater, regardless of the air and missile defenses the United States could bring forward. Chinese forces would be able to conduct wide-scale naval operations against battle groups as far as 1,500 kilometers from the mainland while remaining safely out of range themselves. Hence, although China is still a long way from matching the United States in conventional military prowess or combat proficiency across the board, its goal of defeating American forces in a limited theater war may well be within reach. The consequences for American war planning of failure to give due consideration to the tremendous threat posed by the Chinese missiles and the stark inadequacy of current and anticipated U.S. defenses against them may prove disastrous in a combat scenario. If the United States wishes to maintain its ability to intervene in a militarized Taiwan scenario, it is imperative that it take the measures necessary to offset China's missile threat."

Author:Pradun, Vitaliy O.
Publisher:Naval War College (U.S.)
Copyright:2011 Vitaliy O. Pradun
Retrieved From:Naval War College Review: http://www.usnwc.edu
Media Type:application/pdf
Source:Naval War College Review (Spring 2011), v.64 no.2, p.7-38
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