ABSTRACT

Local Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza   [open pdf - 464KB]

"Local, open-outbreak mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza that target zones of high infectious contact within a community's social network may be very effective. A networked agent-based model was used to instantiate the contact network within a stylized small town and vary the behavior of targeted groups. Simulations show that until sufficient vaccine becomes available, influenza could be halted solely through social distancing whereby children and teenagers stay home while the rest of the population continues normal day-to-day activities. Subsequent vaccinations that start with children and teenagers return the community to normalcy most rapidly, with the least illness, death, and vaccine."

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Date:
2005-12-21
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Copyright:
Public Domain
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pdf
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application/pdf
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