ABSTRACT

Estimating Human Trafficking into the United States: Development of a Methodology   [open pdf - 1MB]

"The purpose of this study was to develop and fully document methods to estimate the number of females and males trafficked for the purposes of sexual and labor exploitation from eight countries (Colombia, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Nicaragua, Peru, and Venezuela) into the United States at the southwest border. The decision to limit the regions of interest for this study to the eight countries of origin and to one entry point into the United States was based on reported trafficking activity in the eight countries of origin, data limitations, and the need to focus the scope of work to a demonstration project. This research represents the first phase of a two-phase project and: Provides a conceptual framework for identifying potential data sources to estimate the number of victims at different stages in trafficking; Develops statistical models to estimate the number of males and females at risk of being trafficked for sexual and labor exploitation from the eight countries, and the number of males and females actually trafficked for sex and labor; Incorporates into the estimation models the transit journey of trafficking victims from the eight countries to the southwest border of the United States; Designs the estimation models such that they are highly flexible and modular so that they can evolve as the body of data expands; Utilizes open source data as inputs to the statistical model, making the model accessible to anyone interested in using it; Presents preliminary estimates that illustrate the use of the statistical methods, and; Illuminates gaps in data sources."

Publisher:
Date:
2006-12
Copyright:
Public Domain
Retrieved From:
National Institute of Justice: http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/
Format:
pdf
Media Type:
application/pdf
URL:
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