Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America: The Impact of Climate Change to 2030: Geopolitical Implications, Conference Report   [open pdf - 250KB]

"The National Intelligence Council-sponsored workshop entitled The Implications of Global Climate Change in Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America, held on 31 August 2009, brought together a panel of regional experts to consider the probable effects of climate change on Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America from a social, political, and economic perspective." Conclusions by the panelists include: "climate change may increase prospects for conflict in the region"; "strong civil society organizations play an important role in moderating the effects of climate change as they provide a means of communication between local people and state actors"; "state centralization and control correlate well with emergency preparedness"; "all states in the region show some capacity to recover from damage caused by extreme weather events"; "most states in the region lack the institutional mechanisms to effectively address the long-term threats posed by climate change"; and "the United States will probably face ever-increasing pressure to provide humanitarian assistance to neighbors to avoid large numbers of refugees and to reduce the risk of local conflicts that could require US military intervention."

Report Number:
CR 2010-03
Public Domain
Retrieved From:
National Intelligence Council: http://www.dni.gov/
Media Type:
National Intelligence Council Conference on the Implications of Global Climate Change in Mexico, the Caribbean, and Central America. August 31, 2009
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