Climate Simulation and Flood Risk Analysis for 2008-40 for Devils Lake, North Dakota [open pdf - 2MB]
"The purpose of this report is to describe climate simulation and flood risk analysis for 2008--2040 for Devils Lake, North Dakota. In the report, previously published estimates of monthly precipitation, evaporation, and inflow data for Devils Lake for 1950--99 are extended to include data for 2000--2006, the data are used to recalibrate the Devils Lake stochastic simulation model, and new estimates of future flood risk for Devils Lake and Stump Lake are provided. Recent research on long-term regional climate variability will be used to provide a sound scientific basis for the climatic assumptions used to generate potential future lake levels and estimate future flood risk. The report can be used by Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (COE), and other agencies for developing updated flood-insurance rate maps and planning flood-mitigation activities such as levee raises, road raises, or other infrastructure improvements."
U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2008-5011
United States Geological Survey: http://www.usgs.gov/