Big Three: Our Greatest Security Risks and How to Address Them   [open pdf - 3MB]

"Thirty years from now, if our successors were to deem our stewardship of American national security at the end of the 20th century as poor, why would that be so? Suppose through a time warp our computers receive the first paragraph of a review written in 2029, then imagine that preview were critical of our national security policies and investments at the end of the 20th century. Perhaps it said we had failed to focus adequately on what proved to be our most important national security problems. What would the missing text most likely report as our failures? There are many candidates for answers to this question, all should be subject to debate. This essay outlines the answers by describing three risks that should be of greater concern to us over the next decades: Renewed competition with a major military adversary; Traumatic attacks, particularly from nonexplosive warfare (NEW) weapons; and, Erosion of support." This book reviews each of these risks and the immediate actions that hold promise of reducing our vulnerability.

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